Skip to main content
retirement account decision

Roth or Traditional?

The honest answer depends on one unknowable: your tax rate in retirement vs now. Instead of making you guess a winner, we solve the breakeven rate and show why most people land on Traditional.

Every number is calculated, not guessedVerified math — the AI explains, it never computes

In short

Updated for tax year 2026 · June 2026

Roth and Traditional break even when your retirement tax rate equals your current marginal rate. Here is the part most calculators skip. Even in the same bracket, your withdrawals are taxed at your effective rate, not your top rate, because they refill the brackets from zero. So at equal brackets, Traditional usually wins. Roth only pulls ahead if you expect higher taxes later.

Loading…

How does the calculator compare Roth and Traditional?

It assumes you take the same amount of spendable cash out of your paycheck either way, so you are comparing like with like. With Roth, that cash goes in after tax and is never taxed again. With Traditional, the same out-of-pocket cash buys a larger contribution, because the money you would have paid in tax stays invested inside the account too, and the whole balance is taxed once when you withdraw it. Each dollar is taxed exactly once: Roth on the way in, Traditional on the way out. The tool then solves for your breakeven retirement rate and shows the outcome across a range of assumptions, so you can see how sensitive the answer is rather than trusting a single guess.

Does the tool assume you invest the tax savings elsewhere?

No. The tool keeps Traditional's tax savings inside the retirement account, compounding tax-deferred, rather than assuming you invest that money in a separate taxable brokerage account. That is the cleanest like-for-like comparison, and it gives Traditional its strongest case. If you would actually take the tax savings from Traditional and invest them in a regular taxable account, that side money faces capital-gains tax along the way, which narrows Traditional's edge. So if you are disciplined about investing the tax break separately, treat the result as Traditional's best case and lean a little more toward Roth than the breakeven alone suggests. Most people spend that freed-up cash rather than invest it, which is why this is the realistic default, but it is worth knowing which way it leans.

What else matters beyond the breakeven rate?

The breakeven rate is the core of the decision, but three other differences matter enough to mention.

Traditional accounts force required minimum distributions, or RMDs. Starting at age 73, the IRS makes you withdraw a set amount each year whether you need it or not, and those withdrawals are taxable. Roth accounts have no RMDs during your lifetime, so the money can keep growing untouched and pass to heirs more cleanly. If leaving a tax-free inheritance or controlling your retirement income matters to you, that pushes toward Roth.

Roth contributions, the money you put in, can be withdrawn at any time without tax or penalty, since you already paid tax on it. Only the earnings are locked until retirement. That makes Roth quietly more flexible than people assume.

And one more difference worth knowing: an employer match has traditionally gone into a pre-tax Traditional account, and in most plans it still does, even if your own contributions are Roth. Some plans now offer Roth matching under newer rules (SECURE 2.0), though it is not yet universal. Either way, many people with a match end up holding both account types, which is its own small form of tax diversification.

Common questions

At what tax rate does Roth beat Traditional?

Roth beats Traditional only when your tax rate in retirement is higher than your current marginal rate. At equal rates the two tie. Below your current marginal rate, Traditional comes out ahead.

Why does Traditional usually win even in the same tax bracket?

Because the two rates aren't the same kind. Your Traditional deduction saves tax at your marginal rate today. Your withdrawals later are taxed at your effective rate, which is lower, since they fill the brackets starting from zero. Same bracket, different rate, Traditional ahead.

Does this account for state taxes?

No. These figures are federal only. State tax can change the answer, especially if you'll retire in a lower-tax state than the one you work in now, which favors Traditional even more.

Built and reviewed by the EverydayBudd editorial team. Every figure on this page is reproduced in automated tests against published IRS data before it ships, and the tax figures use 2026 brackets and limits.