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Greenhouse Heating & Cooling Load Estimator (Quick Sizing)

Rough heating and cooling load estimation using a simplified conduction + ventilation + solar gain model. Enter dimensions, glazing type, and design temperatures to see approximate peak loads and equipment capacities. Educational only, not an engineering design.

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Quick Sizing Result: What the BTU Number on Your Screen Actually Means

A greenhouse heating load estimate tells you how many BTU/hr (or kW) of heat your system must deliver on the coldest expected night to hold the inside temperature your crop needs. If the calculator returns 250,000 BTU/hr, that is the minimum furnace or boiler output required—not the average load, not the seasonal total, but the peak-night demand that sets your equipment size.

The most common sizing mistake is using the average winter temperature instead of the design-night low. A greenhouse in zone 6 may average 25 °F in January, but the design low is 0 °F. Size your heater to the average and the crop freezes on the one night that matters most. This calculator uses your design outdoor temperature so the furnace you buy actually covers the worst case.

Heat-Loss Drivers: Surface Area, U-Value, and the Temperature Gap

Greenhouse heat loss follows a single core equation published in the Purdue University greenhouse heating guide:

Q = A × U × ΔT

Q = heat loss (BTU/hr), A = exposed surface area (ft²), U = overall heat-transfer coefficient (BTU/hr·ft²·°F), ΔT = inside temp minus outside design temp (°F).

Surface area (A) is not floor area—it is the total exposed envelope: roof panels, sidewalls, end walls, and any exposed foundation. A 30 ft × 96 ft quonset greenhouse has roughly 5,800 ft² of envelope even though the floor is only 2,880 ft². Using floor area instead of envelope area under-sizes the heater by 40–50 %.

U-value depends on covering material. Single-layer polyethylene runs about 1.15 BTU/hr·ft²·°F; double-poly with an air gap drops to roughly 0.70; twin-wall polycarbonate sits near 0.65; and glass ranges from 1.10 (single pane) down to 0.60 for double-glazed units. Switching from single poly to double poly on the same greenhouse can cut heat loss—and fuel cost—by nearly 40 %.

Infiltration: The Cold Air You Cannot See Leaking In

The Q = A × U × ΔT formula covers conduction through the covering. It does not account for cold air leaking through gaps, vents, doors, and fan openings. On a windy night, infiltration can add 25–50 % to the conductive load depending on how tight the structure is.

A common shortcut is to multiply the conductive loss by an infiltration factor: 1.0–1.1 for a tight double-poly house with sealed joints, 1.25 for an average single-poly house, and 1.4–1.5 for an older glass house with loose laps and worn weatherstripping. The calculator applies this factor so your final BTU/hr figure includes both conduction and air exchange losses.

Reducing infiltration is the cheapest efficiency gain available. Sealing poly overlaps with greenhouse tape, installing inlet baffles on exhaust-fan shutters, and weather-stripping doors can knock 10–15 % off the heating bill without touching the covering or the furnace.

Cold-Night Scenario: Sizing a Heater for a 30 × 96 ft Double-Poly House

Greenhouse: 30 ft × 96 ft quonset, double-poly covering (U = 0.70), envelope area 5,800 ft². Inside set point: 60 °F. Design outdoor low: 0 °F. Infiltration factor: 1.15 (tight double-poly).

StepCalculationResult
ΔT60 − 060 °F
Conductive loss5,800 × 0.70 × 60243,600 BTU/hr
Total with infiltration243,600 × 1.15280,140 BTU/hr
Equivalent in kW280,140 ÷ 3,41282 kW

A 300,000 BTU/hr unit heater gives a small safety margin above the 280k peak. If propane costs $2.50/gal (91,500 BTU/gal at 80 % furnace efficiency), one hour at full output burns about 3.8 gallons—$9.60/hr. Over a 10-hour cold night that is roughly $96 in fuel, a number worth knowing before you commit to a crop that needs 60 °F all winter.

Fuel-Cost Back-of-Napkin: Translating BTU/hr Into a Monthly Bill

Peak load tells you the biggest heater you need; seasonal cost tells you whether you can afford to run it. A rough seasonal estimate multiplies peak load by the number of heating hours and adjusts for the fact that most hours are milder than design night:

Seasonal fuel ≈ (Peak BTU/hr × HDD × 24) ÷ (ΔTdesign × Furnace eff. × Fuel BTU/unit)

HDD = heating degree-days for your location (base 60 °F or 65 °F, match your crop set point). Local climate data is available from the National Weather Service.

For the 30 × 96 house above, in a location with 4,500 HDD (base 60) and propane at $2.50/gal: seasonal propane ≈ (280,140 × 4,500 × 24) ÷ (60 × 0.80 × 91,500) ≈ 6,900 gallons ≈ $17,250 for the heating season. That number decides whether you grow warm-season transplants all winter or shut the house down and wait for spring.

Sizing Mistakes That Freeze Crops or Waste Fuel Money

  • Using floor area instead of envelope area. The roof and walls lose heat, not the floor slab. A quonset greenhouse has roughly twice the envelope area of its floor footprint. Plugging floor area into the formula returns a heater half the size you actually need.
  • Sizing to the average winter temperature instead of the design low. A heater matched to the average night handles 80 % of nights fine. The other 20 %—including the coldest—it falls short. Crops do not average out frost damage; one night below threshold can kill a bench of transplants worth thousands of dollars.
  • Oversizing by doubling the calculated load “just in case.” A furnace twice the peak load short-cycles: it fires, heats the house fast, shuts off, and repeats. Short-cycling wastes fuel on startup losses, creates uneven temperature distribution, and wears out ignition components. Size to 10–20 % above calculated peak, not 100 %.

From Heating Load to Capacity Plan and Full-Season Budget

The heating load sets your equipment size; the next question is what goes inside the heated space. The Greenhouse Area & Capacity Calculator converts your bench layout into plant counts so you can weigh fuel cost against production revenue. For field crops that feed into a greenhouse transplant pipeline, the Crop Yield Estimator projects downstream harvest value. The Seed & Fertilizer Rate Calculator and the Irrigation Scheduling Calculator round out the input budget for crops grown under cover.

Heating-load estimates use simplified steady-state assumptions and do not replace a professional HVAC engineer’s analysis for large or complex structures. Actual fuel consumption depends on weather patterns, thermostat management, equipment condition, and building tightness. Use the output as a planning benchmark and verify equipment selection with your greenhouse supplier or extension engineer.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a greenhouse heating and cooling load calculation?

A heating and cooling load calculation estimates the amount of heat that must be added (heating) or removed (cooling) from a greenhouse to maintain desired indoor temperatures. These calculations consider three main heat transfer mechanisms: (1) Conduction through the building envelope (walls, roof) - heat flows through glazing material from warm to cold areas, rate depends on U-value and temperature difference, (2) Air infiltration through gaps, cracks, and openings - exchanges warm indoor air with cold outdoor air (winter) or cool indoor air with hot outdoor air (summer), measured as air changes per hour (ACH), (3) Solar heat gain from sunlight passing through glazing - beneficial in winter (reduces heating load), adds significant heat in summer (increases cooling load). This tool provides rough educational estimates using simplified formulas that combine these mechanisms. Understanding load calculations helps you estimate HVAC equipment capacities needed to maintain desired greenhouse temperatures.

What is a U-value and why does glazing type matter?

The U-value (thermal transmittance) measures how well a material conducts heat. It represents the rate of heat transfer per unit area per degree of temperature difference. Lower U-values mean better insulation - less heat flows through the material. Single-layer polyethylene has a high U-value (~1.05 BTU/hr·ft²·°F or ~5.96 W/m²·K), allowing more heat transfer, while double-layer glazing or polycarbonate panels have lower U-values (~0.5-0.6), providing better thermal performance. Common U-values: Single-polyethylene (~1.05), Double-polyethylene (~0.62), Single-glass (~1.02), Double-glass (~0.49), Polycarbonate (~0.53). The glazing type significantly affects both heating and cooling loads because it determines how much heat transfers through the envelope. Choosing better-insulated glazing (lower U-value) reduces both heating and cooling requirements, improving energy efficiency. Understanding U-value helps you see how glazing selection affects energy requirements and operating costs.

What is infiltration and ACH (air changes per hour)?

Infiltration is uncontrolled air leakage through gaps, cracks, and openings in the greenhouse structure. It occurs through door seals, vent gaps, structural joints, and other openings. ACH (air changes per hour) measures how many times the entire air volume inside the greenhouse is replaced per hour due to infiltration. A 'tight' greenhouse with good seals might have 0.5 ACH (well-sealed, minimal leakage), while a 'drafty' older structure could have 2.0 ACH or more (loose construction, many gaps). Higher infiltration increases both heating and cooling loads because it exchanges conditioned indoor air with unconditioned outdoor air. In winter, cold outdoor air enters and warm indoor air escapes, increasing heating requirements. In summer, hot outdoor air enters and cool indoor air escapes, increasing cooling requirements. Reducing infiltration through better sealing, weatherstripping, and construction quality can significantly reduce HVAC loads and energy costs. Understanding infiltration helps you see how building tightness affects energy requirements.

How accurate are these load estimates?

These are rough educational estimates using a simplified box model that assumes a rectangular greenhouse with flat roof. The tool provides a starting point for understanding load concepts but does not replace professional engineering analysis. Real greenhouse load calculations require detailed engineering analysis considering: exact geometry (gable ends, roof angles, irregular shapes), glazing orientation and shading (south-facing vs. north-facing surfaces), local climate data (hourly weather data, design conditions from ASHRAE or local sources), shading from structures or trees, internal heat sources (grow lights, equipment, plants transpiring), ventilation systems (mechanical ventilation affects loads), and code requirements (local building codes may specify design conditions or calculation methods). Professional HVAC engineers use sophisticated software (such as EnergyPlus, TRNSYS, or specialized greenhouse design software) for accurate sizing. This tool's simplified model is useful for conceptual planning and education but should not be used for final equipment sizing without professional review. Understanding accuracy limitations helps you use this tool appropriately as part of comprehensive HVAC planning.

What is the safety factor and how should I set it?

The safety factor (or oversize factor) adds extra capacity to the calculated peak load to account for uncertainties and ensure equipment can handle extreme conditions. It provides margin for: calculation uncertainties (simplified models may not capture all factors), extreme weather conditions (colder winters or hotter summers than design conditions), equipment degradation (equipment performance may decline over time), and system reliability (ensures equipment can maintain conditions even under stress). Typical values range from 10-25%, with 20% being a common choice. A 20% safety factor means equipment is sized for 120% of the calculated load (calculated load × 1.20). Higher factors provide more margin and reliability but may increase equipment costs and reduce efficiency (oversized equipment may cycle frequently). Lower factors reduce costs but provide less margin for uncertainties. The appropriate safety factor depends on: criticality of the crop (high-value crops may need higher factors), local climate variability (areas with extreme weather may need higher factors), and system redundancy (if backup systems exist, lower factors may be acceptable). Understanding safety factor helps you see how to size equipment with appropriate margin.

Why is solar gain only included in cooling load?

In winter, solar gain actually helps reduce heating load by providing free heat from sunlight, so it's not added to heating calculations in this simplified model. The sun's radiation passing through the glazing warms the interior, reducing the amount of heating required. In summer, solar radiation through the glazing adds significant heat that must be removed by cooling systems, so solar gain is included in cooling load calculations. The solar gain factor depends on: climate (sunny climates have more solar gain), glazing type (some materials transmit more solar radiation), and whether the greenhouse is shaded (shade cloth or structures reduce solar gain). The tool uses simplified solar gain factors (low, medium, high) based on exposure level. In reality, solar gain varies throughout the day and year, and professional calculations consider glazing transmittance, orientation, shading, and time of day. Understanding solar gain helps you see how sunlight affects heating and cooling requirements differently in different seasons.

What units are used for heating and cooling loads?

In imperial units, loads are expressed in BTU/hr (British Thermal Units per hour), which represents the rate of heat transfer. In metric units, loads are in Watts (W) or kilowatts (kW). For reference: 1 kW ≈ 3,412 BTU/hr, and 1 ton of cooling = 12,000 BTU/hr. Heating equipment is often rated in BTU/hr or kW, while cooling (AC) equipment may be rated in tons (1 ton = 12,000 BTU/hr of cooling capacity). When comparing equipment, make sure to use consistent units. The tool automatically converts between units based on your selected unit system. Understanding units helps you interpret results and compare equipment specifications correctly.

Should I use this for actual equipment purchasing decisions?

No. This tool is for educational planning only and should not be used for actual equipment purchasing decisions. Actual greenhouse HVAC equipment sizing should be done by qualified professionals (licensed engineers, HVAC designers, or greenhouse specialists) using detailed load calculation methods, local climate data, and considering all factors including: backup capacity (redundant systems for critical crops), equipment efficiency (affects operating costs), fuel costs (different fuel types have different costs), local codes (building codes may specify requirements), and comprehensive system design (ventilation, humidity control, distribution). Always consult with greenhouse designers or HVAC engineers for real projects. This tool helps you understand load concepts and provides rough estimates for planning discussions, but final equipment sizing requires professional engineering analysis. Understanding tool limitations helps you use it appropriately as part of comprehensive HVAC planning rather than as a final answer.

How do I convert between BTU/hr, kW, and tons?

Common unit conversions for HVAC loads: 1 kW = 3,412 BTU/hr (approximately), 1 ton of cooling = 12,000 BTU/hr, 1 kW = 0.293 tons (approximately). To convert: BTU/hr to kW, divide by 3,412; BTU/hr to tons, divide by 12,000; kW to BTU/hr, multiply by 3,412; kW to tons, multiply by 0.293. For example, 50,000 BTU/hr ≈ 14.7 kW ≈ 4.2 tons. The tool automatically handles unit conversions based on your selected unit system (imperial shows BTU/hr, metric shows W or kW). Understanding unit conversions helps you compare equipment specifications and interpret results correctly.

What design temperatures should I use?

Design temperatures should represent the extreme conditions your greenhouse must handle. For heating load, use the coldest expected outdoor temperature (winter design temperature) and your desired minimum indoor temperature. For cooling load, use the hottest expected outdoor temperature (summer design temperature) and your desired maximum indoor temperature. These temperatures can be obtained from: local climate data (historical weather records), ASHRAE design conditions (standard engineering reference), local extension services (may provide regional design temperatures), or engineering references (local building codes may specify design conditions). Typical ranges: Winter outdoor design temperatures vary by climate (may be 0°F to 40°F depending on location), Summer outdoor design temperatures also vary (may be 85°F to 105°F depending on location). Indoor design temperatures depend on crop requirements (different crops have different temperature needs). Using appropriate design temperatures ensures your HVAC system can handle extreme conditions. Understanding design temperatures helps you enter realistic values for accurate load estimates.

How does glazing type affect energy costs?

Glazing type significantly affects energy costs because it determines the U-value, which controls heat transfer through the envelope. Lower U-values (better insulation) reduce both heating and cooling loads, leading to lower energy consumption and costs. For example, upgrading from single-polyethylene (U ~1.05) to double-polyethylene (U ~0.62) can reduce heating loads by approximately 40%, significantly reducing heating energy costs. Similarly, better-insulated glazing reduces cooling loads in summer. However, better glazing typically costs more initially, so there's a trade-off between upfront costs and long-term energy savings. The payback period depends on: local energy costs (higher energy costs make better glazing more attractive), climate (colder climates benefit more from better heating insulation), and greenhouse usage (year-round operation benefits more from energy savings). Understanding glazing impact helps you make informed decisions about greenhouse materials and energy efficiency investments.

Can this tool account for internal heat sources like grow lights?

No. This simplified model does not account for internal heat sources such as grow lights, equipment, or plant transpiration. In reality, these internal heat sources can significantly affect loads: grow lights generate substantial heat (LED lights generate less heat than HID lights, but still contribute), equipment (pumps, fans, control systems) generates heat, and plants transpire (release water vapor, which affects humidity and can contribute to cooling load). For greenhouses with significant internal heat sources, professional load calculations should include these factors. Some internal heat sources may reduce heating requirements (lights provide heat in winter) but increase cooling requirements (lights add heat in summer). If you have significant internal heat sources, consult with HVAC engineers who can incorporate these factors into detailed load calculations. Understanding internal heat source limitations helps you see when this tool is appropriate and when you need more detailed analysis.

What is the difference between heating load and heating capacity?

Heating load is the calculated amount of heat that must be added to maintain desired temperatures, based on heat loss calculations (conduction and infiltration). Heating capacity (or recommended capacity) is the equipment size recommended by the tool, which includes the heating load plus a safety factor. The formula is: HeatingCapacity = HeatingLoad × (1 + SafetyFactorPercent ÷ 100). For example, if heating load is 40,000 BTU/hr and safety factor is 20%, recommended capacity is 40,000 × 1.20 = 48,000 BTU/hr. The safety factor provides margin for uncertainties and extreme conditions. When selecting equipment, you would look for equipment rated at or above the recommended capacity. Understanding the difference helps you see how calculated loads relate to actual equipment sizing.

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Greenhouse Heating & Cooling Load (BTU/hr + kW)